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MLB Predictions for May, 13th

Thank you for using SBV’s sports betting model! I spent over a month creating it just for you, and I promise it’s not BS.
To the far right of the table, you’ll find the model’s game predictions and win probability based on various stats highly correlated with the following outcomes (moneyline, spreads, totals). I’d also like to add that thanks to PineSports.com, we’ve been able to back-test our sports betting model against over 7,000 MLB games for accuracy. It’s recommended to stick to probabilities of 60%+ but even with a probability score of 55%, the model is still correct 60% of the time with the money line. Consider the win prob. more like a confidence score or rating. The best strategy is to pick bets with a high win probability and low implied odds. For example, (Boston Implied Odds= 34%, Win Probability= 59%). That way you can capitalize on the increased odds and grow your bankroll with straight bets/builders.

NOTE: If you’re veiwing on PC and the header is bunched up, just click one of the stats in the header and that should fix it.

Start TimeAWAYHOMEVenueTempWind SpeedAWAY - MoneylineAWAY - Implied OddsHOME - MoneylineHOME - Implied OddsAWAY - Starting PitcherHOME - Starting PitcherWinnerProb. of AWAY being WinnerProb. of HOME being Winner
3:07:00 PMMinnesotaTorontoRogers Centre49.911.413642.37%-16261.83%Simeon Woods RichardsonKevin GausmanAway71.57%28.43%
4:05:00 PMArizonaBaltimoreOriole Park at Camden Yards70014241.32%-17062.96%Ryne NelsonJohn MeansHome26.46%73.54%
4:05:00 PMChicago CubsPittsburghPNC Park6012.8-11052.38%-11052.38%Justin SteelePaul SkenesAway59.02%40.98%
4:10:00 PMAtlantaNY MetsCiti Field589.2-15560.78%13043.48%Max FriedChristian ScottAway59.88%40.12%
4:10:00 PMNY YankeesTampa BayTropicana Field700-12555.56%10548.78%Nestor CortesZack LittellAway54.17%45.83%
4:10:00 PMWashingtonBostonFenway Park70013642.37%-16261.83%Jake IrvinCooper CriswellHome35.23%64.77%
4:10:00 PMPhiladelphiaMiamiloanDepot park88.112.8-13056.52%11047.62%Taijuan WalkerJesus LuzardoAway83.93%16.07%
6:10:00 PMHoustonDetroitComerica Park57.817.911446.73%-13557.45%Cristian JavierTarik SkubalHome37.96%62.04%
7:10:00 PMClevelandChicago White SoxGuaranteed Rate Field700-16662.41%14041.67%Triston McKenzieMike ClevingerAway54.01%45.99%
7:15:00 PMCincinnatiSan FranciscoOracle Park700-11553.49%-10551.22%Nick LodoloMason BlackHome35.94%64.06%
7:15:00 PMSt. LouisMilwaukeeAmerican Family Field61.18.114540.82%-17563.64%Kyle GibsonFreddy PeraltaHome43.93%56.07%
8:10:00 PMTexasColoradoCoors Field6210.3-16261.83%13642.37%Andrew HeaneyRyan FeltnerAway73.16%26.84%
8:40:00 PMLA DodgersSan DiegoPetco Park65.99.2-14258.68%12045.45%James PaxtonMatt WaldronAway69.58%30.42%
9:38:00 PMKansas CityLA AngelsAngel Stadium72.19.2-14859.68%12444.64%Cole RagansTyler AndersonAway65.20%34.80%
9:40:00 PMOaklandSeattleT-Mobile Park785.819533.90%-23870.41%Joey EstesBryce MillerHome45.82%54.18%
Start TimeAWAYHOMEVenueTempWind SpeedPoint SpreadAWAY- Point Spread Vegas LineAWAY - Point Spread Implied OddsHOME - Point Spread MoneylineHOME - Point Spread Implied OddsAWAY - Starting PitcherHOME - Starting PitcherWinner ATS PredictionProb. of AWAY being Winner ATSProb. of HOME being Winner ATS
3:07:00 PMMinnesotaTorontoRogers Centre49.911.4-1.5-16261.83%13642.37%Simeon Woods RichardsonKevin GausmanAway65.39%33.54%
4:05:00 PMArizonaBaltimoreOriole Park at Camden Yards700-1.5-14258.68%12045.45%Ryne NelsonJohn MeansAway53.60%45.96%
4:05:00 PMChicago CubsPittsburghPNC Park6012.81.515040.00%-18064.29%Justin SteelePaul SkenesAway52.26%45.74%
4:10:00 PMAtlantaNY MetsCiti Field589.21.511446.73%-13557.45%Max FriedChristian ScottAway53.01%44.99%
4:10:00 PMNY YankeesTampa BayTropicana Field7001.513642.37%-16261.83%Nestor CortesZack LittellAway49.83%48.17%
4:10:00 PMWashingtonBostonFenway Park700-1.5-15560.78%13043.48%Jake IrvinCooper CriswellAway58.15%41.16%
4:10:00 PMPhiladelphiaMiamiloanDepot park88.112.81.513043.48%-15560.78%Taijuan WalkerJesus LuzardoAway58.40%39.60%
6:10:00 PMHoustonDetroitComerica Park57.817.9-1.5-19866.44%16437.88%Cristian JavierTarik SkubalAway56.07%43.48%
7:10:00 PMClevelandChicago White SoxGuaranteed Rate Field7001.5-10250.50%-11854.13%Triston McKenzieMike ClevingerAway49.62%48.38%
7:15:00 PMCincinnatiSan FranciscoOracle Park7001.514540.82%-17563.64%Nick LodoloMason BlackHome46.66%51.47%
7:15:00 PMSt. LouisMilwaukeeAmerican Family Field61.18.1-1.5-14859.68%12444.64%Kyle GibsonFreddy PeraltaAway57.07%42.29%
8:10:00 PMTexasColoradoCoors Field6210.31.5-10851.92%-11252.83%Andrew HeaneyRyan FeltnerAway50.69%47.31%
8:40:00 PMLA DodgersSan DiegoPetco Park65.99.21.511047.62%-13056.52%James PaxtonMatt WaldronAway54.41%43.59%
9:38:00 PMKansas CityLA AngelsAngel Stadium72.19.21.511446.73%-13557.45%Cole RagansTyler AndersonAway53.84%44.16%
9:40:00 PMOaklandSeattleT-Mobile Park785.8-1.5-12054.55%10050.00%Joey EstesBryce MillerAway53.39%46.03%
Start TimeAWAYHOMEVenueTempWind SpeedOver-UnderAWAY - Starting PitcherHOME - Starting PitcherOver/Under PredictionProb. of OverProb. of Under
3:07 PMMinnesotaTorontoRogers Centre49.911.47.5Simeon Woods RichardsonKevin GausmanUnder45.65%52.35%
4:05 PMArizonaBaltimoreOriole Park at Camden Yards7008.5Ryne NelsonJohn MeansOver49.82%48.18%
4:05 PMChicago CubsPittsburghPNC Park5812.87Justin SteelePaul SkenesOver50.43%47.57%
4:10 PMAtlantaNY MetsCiti Field58.911.47Max FriedChristian ScottOver51.49%46.51%
4:10 PMPhiladelphiaMiamiloanDepot park88.112.88Taijuan WalkerJesus LuzardoUnder48.87%49.13%
4:10 PMNY YankeesTampa BayTropicana Field7008Nestor CortesZack LittellUnder47.98%50.02%
4:10 PMWashingtonBostonFenway Park7008.5Jake IrvinCooper CriswellOver49.57%48.43%
6:10 PMHoustonDetroitComerica Park57.817.97.5Cristian JavierTarik SkubalUnder45.84%52.16%
7:10 PMClevelandChicago White SoxGuaranteed Rate Field7008Triston McKenzieMike ClevingerUnder48.62%49.38%
7:15 PMSt. LouisMilwaukeeAmerican Family Field608.17.5Kyle GibsonFreddy PeraltaUnder48.29%49.71%
7:15 PMCincinnatiSan FranciscoOracle Park7007.5Nick LodoloMason BlackOver51.12%46.88%
8:10 PMTexasColoradoCoors Field629.29.5Andrew HeaneyRyan FeltnerUnder46.56%51.44%
8:40 PMLA DodgersSan DiegoPetco Park65.98.19.5James PaxtonMatt WaldronUnder46.44%51.56%
9:38 PMKansas CityLA AngelsAngel Stadium70.18.18Cole RagansTyler AndersonOver49.23%48.77%
9:40 PMOaklandSeattleT-Mobile Park786.98Joey EstesBryce MillerUnder45.43%52.57%

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